To appear in HotNets 2026
What Goes Around Comes Around: Predictive Ground Station Selection For LEO Constellation
Fan-Xue Gabriella Reidys,
Mubashir Anwar, Ragini Gupta, Aryan Taneja, Deepak Vasisht, Matthew Caesar.
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LEO satellite networks have grown into critical communications infrastructure serving rapidly growing volumes of Internet traffic. As demand grows, selecting which ground station each satellite should use becomes a key traffic engineering problem. Existing systems make this decision using present-time conditions: each satellite selects the best ground station currently in view, which remains fixed throughout the connection window. However, the traffic served by a satellite can change substantially during that interval, causing individually reasonable decisions to collectively overload heavily demanded ground stations while available capacity elsewhere remains underutilized. To address this, we present INSITE, a predictive ground station selection framework that jointly plans constellation-wide assignments using predicted traffic demand over each connection window. In doing so, INSITE balances load across ground stations, minimizes ISL usage, and reduces congestion-induced queueing. In preliminary results, INSITE reduces the load imbalance factor by 51%, the overflow traffic that would otherwise be forced onto detours to distant stations by 70%, and packet loss under application latency budgets by 3×.


